Today's SES poll when converted to seats is:
C - 148
L - 78
NDP - 19
BQ - 63
It is close to a majority but still short. SES has lower estimates for the NDP than other pollsters, something that could have a significant impact on those numbers, especially possible NDP gains from the Conservatives in the west where the two parties are head to head in many ridings.
I continue to think the NDP should have a simple, clear persuasive anti-Conservative message in the west , something that appears from this Canadian Press report via CTV to be missing. Hitting at the Liberals, who are now approaching their core vote, is a waste of time. But there are a lot of recent soft Conservative converts who could still be pried away.