The closing polls don't change the story of the election. Conservatives will finish first, close to their 2008 mark with no majority, the NDP second making spectacular gains, Liberals third and falling, a bad night coming for the Bloc Quebecois.
Average of Closing Polls |
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| C.P.C. | Liberal | NDP | Green | Bloc | Other | Total |
CANADA | 37.6 | 19.8 | 31.1 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 100 |
Atlantic | 30.9 | 28.6 | 34.8 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 100 |
Quebec | 15.0 | 15.4 | 39.5 | 2.8 | 24.5 | 2.3 | 100 |
Ontario | 38.4 | 26.7 | 29.1 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 100 |
Man/Sask | 50.9 | 13.3 | 29.7 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 100 |
Alberta | 64.7 | 11.1 | 17.2 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 100 |
B.C. | 40.8 | 16.1 | 35.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 100 |
Gains and Losses since 2008:
Closing Polls |
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Change since 2008 |
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| C.P.C. | Liberal | NDP | Green | Bloc | Other |
Canada | -0.0 | -6.4 | 12.9 | -0.4 | -5.6 | -0.5 |
Atlantic | 1.2 | -6.5 | 8.8 | -2.0 | 0.0 | -1.6 |
Quebec | -6.7 | -8.3 | 27.4 | -0.7 | -13.6 | 1.5 |
Ontario | -0.8 | -7.1 | 10.9 | -2.9 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Man/Sask | -0.3 | -3.9 | 5.0 | -0.7 | 0.0 | -0.0 |
Alberta | 0.0 | -0.3 | 4.6 | -3.0 | 0.0 | -1.3 |
BC | -3.7 | -3.3 | 9.3 | -1.9 | 0.0 | -0.1 |