Sunday, May 01, 2011

Final polls - the NDP tide continues to rise

The closing polls don't change the story of the election.  Conservatives will finish first, close to their 2008 mark with no majority, the NDP second making spectacular gains, Liberals third and falling, a bad night coming for the Bloc Quebecois.

Average of Closing Polls






C.P.C. Liberal NDP Green Bloc Other Total
CANADA 37.6 19.8 31.1 6.4 4.3 0.7 100
Atlantic 30.9 28.6 34.8 4.0 0.0 1.7 100
Quebec 15.0 15.4 39.5 2.8 24.5 2.3 100
Ontario 38.4 26.7 29.1 5.1 0.0 0.7 100
Man/Sask 50.9 13.3 29.7 5.4 0.0 0.7 100
Alberta 64.7 11.1 17.2 5.7 0.0 1.2 100
B.C. 40.8 16.1 35.4 7.4 0.0 0.6 100

Gains and Losses since 2008:
Closing Polls





Change since 2008





C.P.C. Liberal NDP Green Bloc Other
Canada -0.0 -6.4 12.9 -0.4 -5.6 -0.5
Atlantic 1.2 -6.5 8.8 -2.0 0.0 -1.6
Quebec -6.7 -8.3 27.4 -0.7 -13.6 1.5
Ontario -0.8 -7.1 10.9 -2.9 0.0 -0.1
Man/Sask -0.3 -3.9 5.0 -0.7 0.0 -0.0
Alberta 0.0 -0.3 4.6 -3.0 0.0 -1.3
BC -3.7 -3.3 9.3 -1.9 0.0 -0.1