Overall the total vote dropped by 2614 votes on the second ballot (there will be an assumption that it is online voters but it could be
early voters not expressing a second choice or some on the floor; it is actually impossible
to tell) but the four candidates still around gained a total of 9827 votes.
Of the votes gained by those still on the ballot Thomas Mulcair picked up 42.5 per cent of the total, far ahead of the others.
Mulcair will win. I would guess on the fourth ballot, but it might be the third.
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