Monday, December 19, 2005

The Static Campaign

This campaign has a static feel too it in the sense that nothing seems to be happening. The first debates are over but no doubt the leaders are holding their best lines for January.

These polls conducted by Decima and Strategic Counsel (on page 28) tell us that Layton benefited the most from the debates. I reject the bare bones questions about who won as misleading given that they appear simply to mimic underlying voter preferences.

The finding by Strategic Counsel (on page 30) that 95% of their poll’s respondents found nothing in the debates to make them change their votes confirms to me the sluggish character of this campaign.

It appears that we can’t expect to see much dynamism before January 2, if then.

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