Leger poll from last weekend

The Leger Marketing poll released last weekend (details here), was actually conducted just before the Reid Poll. My seat estimate from Leger is:

Liberal 146
Conservative 82
NDP 25
Bloc 53

This clarifies that the Liberal majority noted in my previous post is by no means secure. The numbers for the Bloc are relatively stable. It is way ahead in Quebec. Because of the linguistic divide one can add about ten points to the Bloc poll totals. This means the Liberals are further behind in real terms in Quebec than their nominal deficit of ten points might imply.